Analysis and Forecast of Urban Economic Vitality in Northeast China

Cui Xuan(North China University of Science and Technology)
Zhang Yali(North China University of Science and Technology)
Wei Licai(North China University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

Taking into account the passage of time, the original economic vitality index will vary with changes in social development, we use the BP neural network nearly a decade as the original GDP data for the next 30 years the GDP forecast. BP neural network in 1985, proposed by Rumelhart, the algorithm solves the system of learning problems multilayer neural network connection weights hidden layer ^[1].It consists of an input layer, a hidden layer, and an output layer. The principle is to continuously adjust the network weights and thresholds by transmitting errors backward and then correcting the errors to achieve the desired input-output mapping.

Keywords

BP neural network; Vitality of economic development; Advice

References

Kisperka-Moron D. Logistics Change During the Transition Period in the Polish Economy[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 1994, (35).

Tongzont J，Nguyen H O. China’s Economic Rise and Its Implications for Logistics: The Australian Case[J]. Transport Policy, 2009, 13(16).

Cao Cuizhen, Zhao Guohao. Regional Logistics Development, Economic Growth, and Energy Consumption: An Empirical Analysis Based on Chinese Provincial Panel Data[J]. Finance and Trade Research, 2015, (2).

Jia Ren'an, Shen Xiaolong. Analysis of the key cause-effect chain of all feedback loops of system operation——Taking the practice of thermal power generation system in transition as an example[J]. Systems Engineering Theory & Practice, 2014, 10(10).

Zhang Jinsuo, Kang Kai. Regional Economics[M]. Tianjin: Tianjin University Press, 1998.

Jia Renan, Ding Ronghua, etc. System dynamics——complex analysis of feedback dynamics[M]. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2002.

Xie Zili. System Dynamics Research on the Correlation between Regional Economy and Regional Logistics[J]. Railway Transport and Economy, 2009, (11).

Xie Rui. Analysis of the impact of the development of logistics industry based on system dynamics on the optimization of industrial structure in Chongqing[J]. Special Economic Zone, 2015, (7).

Yang Xiaoyan, Yang Fangfang. A System Dynamic Model of Logistics Capability and Human Resource Value Creation——A Study Based on the Internal Perspective of the Enterprise[J]. Science and Technology Management Research, 2013, (4).

Zhao Yingxia. Countermeasures to promote the transformation and upgrading of the logistics industry in Northeast China[J]. Journal of Harbin University of Commerce (Social Science Edition), 2015, (1).

Rong Chaohe. Time value of transportation and logistics and its role in economic space-time analysis[J]. Economic Research, 2011, (8).

Liu Junhua, Li Yaoqin, Chang Qing. Research on the Relationship between Logistics Infrastructure Investment and Economic Growth——Based on System Dynamics and Error Correction Model[J]. East China Economic Management, 2013, (12).

Lu Zhibin, Wang Yaowu. Evaluation of the Coupling Development of Regional Logistics System and Regional Economic System[J]. Statistics and Decision, 2015, (18).

Nie Zhengyan, Li Shuai. Analysis of the Impact of Logistics on Regional Economic Growth in China——Based on Panel Quantile Regression Method[J]. Industrial Technology & Economy, 2015, (10).

Zhang Jiansheng. Study on the Differences and Influence Factors of Regional Logistics Development[J]. Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University (Social Science Edition), 2011, 7 (3).

Bai Jing. Human Resources Development of Logistics Enterprises Based on Human Capital Theory[J]. China Circulation Economy, 2013, (1).

Zhang Yong. Analysis on the Status Quo and Countermeasures of Logistics Human Resource Management in China[J]. Logistics Science and Technology, 2010, (8).

Jia Ren'an, Shen Xiaolong. Analysis of the key cause-effect chain of all feedback loops in system operation: Taking the practice of thermal power generation system in transition as an example[J]. Systems Engineering Theory & Practice, 2014, 10(10).

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3238